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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slides as Weak US Economic News Bolsters Rate Cut Hopes

The dollar index (DXY00) Wednesday fell by -0.33% and posted a 3-week low.  The dollar came under pressure Wednesday on weaker-than-expected US labor market news that showed a smaller-than-expected increase in the Jun ADP employment and a jump in weekly continuing unemployment claims to a 2-1/2 year high, a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, a widening of the US trade deficit in May to a 19-month high is bearish for the dollar.  Losses in the dollar accelerated after the Jun ISM services index contracted by the most in 4 years.

The US Jun ADP employment change rose +150,000, weaker than expectations of +165,000.

US weekly initial unemployment claims rose +4,000 to 238,000, showing a weaker labor market than expectations of 235,000.  Weekly continuing claims rose +26,000 to a 2-1/2 year high of 1.858 million, showing a weaker labor market than expectations of 1.840 million.

The US May trade deficit widened to a 19-month high of -$75.1 billion from -$74.5 billion i... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 25, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
390,837 (+4,725)
400,604 (-13,372)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
167,370 (-4,094)
175,801 (+12,288)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
13,201 (+1,070)
278,823 (-11,026)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
396,476 (-2,753)
155,008 (+5,704)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
78,729 (+333)
90,328 (+3,113)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,551 (+1,293)
12,996 (+437)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.06661 +1.13%
on 06/26/24
1.09159 -1.18%
on 06/04/24
-0.01175 (-1.08%)
since 06/03/24
3-Month
1.06016 +1.75%
on 04/16/24
1.09159 -1.18%
on 06/04/24
-0.00490 (-0.45%)
since 04/03/24
52-Week
1.04487 +3.24%
on 10/03/23
1.12754 -4.33%
on 07/18/23
-0.01264 (-1.16%)
since 07/03/23

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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis Looking for $USDCHF to Correct in Wave (2)

Short Term Elliott Wave in (USDCHF) suggests pair ended the move down from 5.1.2024 high as wave (1) at 0.882. Wave (2) corrective rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 5.1.2024 high.

^USDCHF : 0.90130 (-0.03%)
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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis on AUDJPY Looking to End Wave 5

Short Term Elliott Wave in (AUDJPY) suggests rally from 6.4.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse structure. Up from 6.4.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 104.8 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 103.57.

^AUDJPY : 108.393 (-0.02%)
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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.07951
2nd Resistance Point 1.07711
1st Resistance Point 1.07583
Last Price 1.07877
1st Support Level 1.07215
2nd Support Level 1.06975
3rd Support Level 1.06847

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52-Week High 1.12754
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.09596
Fibonacci 50% 1.08621
Last Price 1.07877
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.07645
52-Week Low 1.04487

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